Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.017197 0.018934 0.020688 0.022585 0.024576 0.026600 0.028808
2025-07-13 0.014127 0.016829 0.019670 0.022858 0.026316 0.029938 0.033999
2025-07-20 0.012064 0.015262 0.018727 0.022715 0.027141 0.031864 0.037251
2025-07-27 0.010464 0.013994 0.017925 0.022552 0.027781 0.033450 0.040004
2025-08-03 0.009636 0.013498 0.017895 0.023162 0.029201 0.035825 0.043557
2025-08-10 0.008484 0.012515 0.017215 0.022950 0.029624 0.037030 0.045761
2025-08-17 0.007458 0.011594 0.016536 0.022674 0.029916 0.038039 0.047702
2025-08-24 0.006633 0.010855 0.016019 0.022539 0.030329 0.039152 0.049728
2025-08-31 0.005859 0.010120 0.015456 0.022306 0.030591 0.040061 0.051497
2025-09-07 0.005236 0.009534 0.015041 0.022219 0.030998 0.041116 0.053413
2025-09-14 0.004533 0.008783 0.014373 0.021783 0.030956 0.041623 0.054675
2025-09-21 0.003899 0.008074 0.013718 0.021329 0.030865 0.042048 0.055824
2025-09-28 0.003114 0.007104 0.012712 0.020451 0.030301 0.041981 0.056490
2025-10-05 0.002787 0.006810 0.012614 0.020747 0.031203 0.043689 0.059280
2025-10-12 0.002369 0.006319 0.012206 0.020608 0.031537 0.044695 0.061223
2025-10-19 0.001997 0.005855 0.011805 0.020453 0.031833 0.045640 0.063083
2025-10-26 0.001855 0.005777 0.011954 0.021031 0.033058 0.047714 0.066291
2025-11-02 0.001541 0.005341 0.011546 0.020831 0.033268 0.048536 0.067989
2025-11-09 0.001254 0.004907 0.011110 0.020569 0.033382 0.049226 0.069519
2025-11-16 0.001030 0.004559 0.010784 0.020441 0.033658 0.050107 0.071272
2025-11-23 0.000820 0.004195 0.010405 0.020221 0.033797 0.050809 0.072799
2025-11-30 0.000660 0.003909 0.010133 0.020139 0.034110 0.051719 0.074576
2025-12-07 0.000480 0.003513 0.009648 0.019726 0.033965 0.052042 0.075624